Key Challenges
The Czech Republic faces significant challenges in adapting its economic model, managing societal changes and attitudes, defining its place in the world, and repairing its political reputation. The country’s international competitiveness has relied on multinational companies manufacturing for export to other EU member states while keeping high-skill activities, such as R&D and new product development, at home. However, increasing profit repatriation has dangerously widened the current account deficit. Additionally, the continuation of many traditional industries results in high levels of pollution and carbon emissions. This sustains a lobby with a vested interest in downplaying environmental damage and climate change.
To address these issues, the Czech Republic needs to emphasize less-polluting and higher-value economic activities. Current support for R&D is inadequate; the government’s last program was weak, poorly resourced, and lacked sector-specific targeting. A strategy to promote innovation from domestically owned firms, rather than relying on lower-grade activities introduced by foreign firms, is essential.
A major barrier is the commitment to a low tax level relative to GDP. Budget deficits are kept in check with reasonable service provisions, thanks to the EU’s financial help for public investment in education, research, and infrastructure. However, this support is not permanent. A critical challenge will be finding resources through additional taxation or cutting current services. The former appears feasible given the increase in company taxation in 2023, while the latter faces serious political barriers and risks breaching commitments to limit social exclusion.
A more welcoming approach to immigrants, both as a humanitarian policy and a means to combat the labor shortage, would require public resources. The assistance provided to Ukrainian refugees demonstrates that this is feasible, at least for some foreigners. An aging population pressures pensions and other public services. Gradually increasing the pension age seems sensible as a primary solution, provided adequate support is available for those less fit to work. Additional pressures include providing adequate housing for young people who cannot easily leave their parental homes. Attitudes toward family life are also contentious; relying on parental leave rather than state-supported child care for very young children hinders economic development by keeping part of the potential labor force out of employment. There is a clear need to combat persistent attitudes regarding a woman’s traditional role.
These internal challenges are linked to perceptions of Czechia’s place in Europe. The EU has required changes in laws and the formulation of coherent programs and policies, accompanied by help from Structural Funds. However, the government is divided over the long-delayed issue of accession to the eurozone. Reluctance partly stems from insular attitudes within various parts of the political spectrum, linked to skepticism over other aspects of the EU agenda, such as concern over climate change.
Czechia’s inward-looking stance is reflected in its limited interest in global issues, leaving it primarily a recipient of outside help rather than a donor. There is little appreciation of the benefits of becoming more active on the international stage. The country stands to gain from stronger measures against tax havens and requirements for reasonable levels of company taxation globally, both of which could bring substantial financial benefits.
While the majority welcomed Ukrainian refugees, the rise of identity politics is an important issue. Same-sex marriage is not codified in law, and new political divides are emerging over gender rights, domestic abuse, sexual abuse, and equal rights for the LGBTQ+ community. These issues also divide generations, with younger people, especially in cities, being more supportive of these causes. Conservatives dominate the current governing coalition. However, the younger generation might produce leaders who will seek modernization, economic restructuring, and the expansion of LGBTQ+ rights, possibly bundled with environmental protection.