Key Challenges
Under the Golob government, democratic regression was halted. However, the government faced numerous political challenges in 2023 and early 2024, both internally among coalition partners and externally. Golob and his team, lacking political experience, struggled to handle these issues, leading to a sharp decline in public support and trust, which affected their ability to govern effectively. The government must learn to work through personal differences and disagreements within the ministerial teams and improve its communication strategy.
Recently, the public has observed disagreements within all three coalition parties. Additionally, the resignation or replacement of ministers has resulted in some ministerial posts being filled by less experienced individuals. These circumstances and internal disputes could easily lead to further declines in support for the government’s activities and even its collapse. The upcoming elections to the European Parliament will be the next test of the government’s support.
Growing ideological polarization mostly prevents cooperation between the coalition and opposition parties, especially the main opposition party, the Slovenian Democratic Party. This polarization often hinders societal reforms. Urgent reforms in the healthcare and pension systems are needed. The absence of serious reforms in both systems will significantly impact the financial and economic sectors in the medium term due to the aging population and future social policy. The poor results achieved by Slovenian students in international studies on the education system call for a reform of the curricula and underscore the importance and urgency of developing a new national education program. This should be done after serious discussion and with the involvement of experts and relevant stakeholders to decide on the priorities and goals Slovenia wants to achieve with its educational reform.
As the period of loose rules to combat global crises (COVID-19 and energy) has ended, a more restrictive fiscal policy is needed to ensure compliance with budgetary commitments set in the wider environment, especially in the EU and the eurozone. The Golob government has withdrawn several promises and agreements made to employees in various public sectors, even before beginning serious negotiations on reforming the public sector wage system. These developments triggered several strikes in 2023, which the government has managed to control, at least temporarily.
Nevertheless, the doctors’ strike at the beginning of January 2024 for higher salaries could again trigger a series of demands and a wave of strikes for higher wages in other areas of the public sector. The same applies to judges and public prosecutors, who seek to have their salaries raised to align with those of the other two branches of the public service, as per the Constitutional Court’s decision. Among other influential actors, farmers have also raised clear demands, many of which contradict adopted policies and set targets, even at the EU level, which Slovenia has accepted.
Several important changes should be made in policy design, including greater use of expert advice to strengthen strategic planning, limit the politicization of the public service, and further improve the RIA system. Such changes can contribute to better policy implementation. The government must now focus on realizing the objectives set out in these strategies.
The government should ensure a stable and predictable tax system, as entrepreneurs and employers have requested. Only partial changes have been enacted in the past, but no comprehensive tax reforms have been prepared. This suggests that the government needs to effectively address various interest groups, including powerful ones, to prevent serious obstacles to Slovenia’s stability and further development.